Yesterday I mentioned testing and tweaking a core upgrade to Synthetic Systems, and that it should be ready by mid year. That process is still under way, but in light of the activity in the financial markets I want to give you a preview. Although I’m already more confident in its forecasts, it is not yet final; the main reason for previewing it is to highlight the areas in which the current forecast is most subject to uncertainty.
So here is the current SS chart, with the new beta version (let’s call it SSS) immediately below it for comparison. The most noteworthy differences are that SSS doesn’t see the strong summer rally in stocks and commodities that SS does, and that SSS thinks the bond market has already bottomed. That these have already been the areas of SS I think most questionable is purely coincidental … SSS is purely mathematical and has no provision to input my opinion of the fundamentals.
I’ll give a fuller introduction of SSS when the testing and tweaking is complete and it formally comes on line at mid year. To correspond with the current latest quarterly SS update, 2022.25, SSS was also run as of that date with the same data available at the time.
The additional S by the way is for “Symmetric”, because it replaces a formerly antisymmetric system with a symmetric one.