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Financology

Economics, Markets & Finance

Author: Bill Terrell

The Fed and the Stock Market

Posted on 2019 02282019 0323 by Bill Terrell

The Fed is once again sowing the seeds of crisis.

Is the Santa Claus Rally Over?

Posted on 2019 02082019 0208 by Bill Terrell

The stock market rally that began on Christmas looks endangered.

Buy 2019 Stocks at 2011 Prices

Posted on 2019 01262019 0128 by Bill Terrell

Buy stocks in 2019 at 2011 prices? It’s possible!

Brexit

Posted on 2019 01162019 0907 by Bill Terrell

Britain depends on Brexit for its survival as a nation.

Outlook 2019

Posted on 2018 12312019 0111 by Bill Terrell

The Financology markets outlook for 2019 and beyond.

Is the Fed Ignoring the Markets?

Posted on 2018 12212018 1221 by Bill Terrell

Financial punditry has been crying that the Fed is ignoring the markets. Financology disagrees.

Volatile Or Just Plain Down?

Posted on 2018 12202018 1221 by Bill Terrell

Volatility during this selloff has been uncharacteristically low.

The Fed Moves

Posted on 2018 12192018 1221 by Bill Terrell

Powell stands up to pressure.

A Fed Policy Mistake?

Posted on 2018 12192018 1221 by Bill Terrell

I don’t like tutti frutti ice cream. Tutti frutti ice cream is therefore a mistake.

How Will the December 2019 FOMC Decision Impact Markets?

Posted on 2018 12182018 1219 by Bill Terrell

This month’s FOMC meeting will be the most closely watched in a long time.

The Crash of 2018 Gets a Second Wind

Posted on 2018 12142018 1220 by Bill Terrell

An update on the bear market in stocks.

A Bull Market Is Born

Posted on 2018 12082018 1209 by Bill Terrell

There’s always a bull market somewhere!

Why Can’t the Economy Handle Normal Interest Rates?

Posted on 2018 12052019 0111 by Bill Terrell

The lower interest rates go and the longer they are there, the more the addict needs them.

Santa Claus Speaks

Posted on 2018 11282018 1129 by Bill Terrell

Fed Chairman Jay Powell delivers stocks a hearty ho-ho-ho.

Deflation

Posted on 2018 11262018 1127 by Bill Terrell

What causes deflation? Can inflation targeting prevent it?

Clarida vs Powell

Posted on 2018 11212018 1121 by Bill Terrell

So … are rates a long way from neutral or nearly there?

The Magic of Trade

Posted on 2018 11202018 1121 by Bill Terrell

Trade is one of the few free lunches in economics.

How to Handle Market Forecasts

Posted on 2018 11192018 1119 by Bill Terrell

There are some premises about the future of the markets underlying every portfolio.

Stock Market Sentiment Supports a “Santa Claus” Rally

Posted on 2018 11162018 1121 by Bill Terrell

Sentiment is so glum the bear leaves room for a countertrend rally.

Unreal Yields

Posted on 2018 11162018 1116 by Bill Terrell

The “real” yield you read of is probably fake.

The Social Security Demographic Crisis

Posted on 2018 11152018 1116 by Bill Terrell

Is the demographic crisis real? Or is it a figment of our rhetoric?

Deflation Accelerates

Posted on 2018 11142018 1116 by Bill Terrell

The crash in oil prices is just the latest symptom of gathering deflation.

A Whiff of Deflation

Posted on 2018 11092018 1109 by Bill Terrell

The US dollar has been appreciating since January … in real terms.

Is High Employment Inflationary?

Posted on 2018 11072018 1108 by Bill Terrell

Continued from Inflation is Not an Economic Condition.

Inflation is Not an Economic Condition

Posted on 2018 11052018 1106 by Bill Terrell

Inflation – or its mirror image, deflation – has nothing to do with demographics, technology, economic growth or any of the other usual suspects.

Bondology

Posted on 2018 11032018 1103 by Bill Terrell

A primer on bonds.

Building a Hedged Portfolio

Posted on 2018 11012018 1101 by Bill Terrell

Have special concerns about inflation or deflation? Here’s how to adapt a basic portfolio.

The Crash Ends

Posted on 2018 10312018 1103 by Bill Terrell

Wile E Coyote hits the dirt.

What Moves Markets

Posted on 2018 10262018 1102 by Bill Terrell

What causes asset prices to move the way they do?

The Crash Continues

Posted on 2018 10252018 1027 by Bill Terrell

Whew!

Invest Early and Retire Rich

Posted on 2018 10172018 1018 by Bill Terrell

Warning: This is a sales pitch!

The Crash of 2018

Posted on 2018 10132018 1024 by Bill Terrell

As crashes go, it wasn’t one for the history books. At least not yet…

Income Investing

Posted on 2018 10032018 1018 by Bill Terrell

Investing with an emphasis on income.

Lehman Bros RIP

Posted on 2018 09142018 1010 by Bill Terrell

The collapse of Lehman Bros did not kick off the financial crisis.

The Fiscal Shell Game

Posted on 2018 09042018 0904 by Bill Terrell

When is a tax cut not a tax cut?

Flat Curves and Stock Prices

Posted on 2018 08182024 0916 by Bill Terrell

What does a flattening yield curve mean for stock returns?

Semantic Sophistry

Posted on 2018 08162018 0817 by Bill Terrell

So was it a bear market or wasn’t it?

Measuring Inflation

Posted on 2018 08152018 1026 by Bill Terrell

Introducing the Financology Dollar Index.

Hedonics Hijinks

Posted on 2018 08042018 0817 by Bill Terrell

What does technological advance have to do with inflation?

Nothing Real About It

Posted on 2018 07282018 0817 by Bill Terrell

Second quarter real GDP soared 4.1%?
I don’t think so!

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Copyright © 2018-2025 Bill Terrell.  The information contained in this website is of a general nature and is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax or legal advice.  No general information such as that presented on this site can take into account all relevant individual factors.  All investments are subject to varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy referenced in this website will be profitable or be suitable for an individual’s portfolio.  Consult the prospectus and other pertinent issuer information for any security before investing.  Writers may have positions in investments mentioned.  These materials reflect the opinion of Financology on the date of production and are subject to change at any time without notice due to various factors such as changing market conditions or tax laws. The information on this site does not constitute an offer to sell nor a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities.

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